The best bet at the John Deere Classic is to bet based on wedge play.
Long shots Joshua Creel(+50000) and Wesley Bryan(+20000) hold substantial leads over the field in wedge play statistics.
No golfers at TPC Deere Run are ranked within the top 50 of the World Golf Rankings, meaning this may be the best week to bet on long shots.
SILVIS, Ill. – TPC Deere Run tees off of Thursday with a relatively weak field that may feature some of the best betting values of the year on the PGA Tour.
John Deere Classic Favorites
Webb Simpson +1200
Adam Hadwin +1600
Sahith Theegala +2200
Maverick McNealy +2800
Patrick Rodgers +2800
Betting On Wedge Play
According to Greg DuCharme, the most common variable amongst previous winners at the John Deere Classic has been wedge play.
At the John Deere Classic, there is one common thread to success. Good wedge play.
Perhaps this is why Steve Stricker, Zach Johnson and Jordan Spieth have also excelled here.
It’s a unique week on the PGA Tour schedule, and it’s time to take advantage.
— Greg DuCharme (@therealGFD) June 28, 2022
Wedge play is categorized as any shot between 50-125 yards, with rankings based on the average distance the ball is to the hole. Ranking golfers in this week’s field reveals four golfers in the top five that have sports betting odds that are 100-1 or longer, including Joshua Creel who is the leader in wedge play at the event who has +50000 odds.
Wedge Play Rankings At The John Deere Classic
PLAYER NAME
RANK
Average Distance
Odds
Joshua Creel
1
15′ 1″
+50000
Wesley Bryan
2
15′ 6″
+20000
Scott Piercy
3
16′ 7″
+10000
Brendon Todd
4
17′
+3300
Chase Seiffert
5
17′
+15000
Creel and Wesley Bryan(+20000) rank third and fourth overall on the PGA Tour this season in wedge play, with Scott Piercy (+10000) the next closest John Deer Classic participant ranked 13th.
Weaker Field At TPC Deere Run
The overall field at TPC Deere Run may be conducive to a large upset winner such as Creel or Bryan because of a relatively weak field. No golfer this week ranks within the top 50 of the World Golf Rankings.
Golfer
Odds
WGR
Webb Simpson
+1200
58
Sahith Theegala
+2200
66
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
+3300
75
Adam Hadwin
+1600
80
Maverick McNealy
+2800
86
With a wide open participant pool, and long shots holding substantial leads in wedge play, the best bet at the John Deere Classic may involve sprinkling some bets on Joshua Creel and Wesley Bryan who both offer payouts of at least 200-1.
News tags: golf | John Deere Classic | Joshua Creel | PGA Tour | Wesley Bryan
Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.
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