Using Fit Statistics To Bet On Trios At Open Championship

Betting Outright & Trios Based On Fit At The Old Course

Betting on the Open Championship based on each golfer’s fit to Old Course reveals that Bryson DeChambeau(+10000) may be the best bet to win the Claret Jug.
The only other golfer within one of DeChambeau on the fit scale is Dean Burmester, whose +20000 odds are even longer than Bryson’s.
Comparing each golfer’s fit on the Old Course to their competitors in the three-ball betting indicates that bets on Wyndham Clark(+160) and Cameron Young(+150) are safe bets.

ST ANDREWS, Scotland – The Open Championship marks the last major of the year, and online sportsbooks have been sure to provide a wide range of betting odds to end the major season strong.

Odds To Win The Open Championship

Rory McIlroy +1000
Jon Rahm +1600
Jordan Spieth +1600
Xander Schauffele +1600
Scottie Scheffler +1800

Using datagolf.com’s course fit tool, the golfers whose game most suits the Old Course begin to stand out.

Multiplying the importance of the key statistics by each golfer’s performance over their last 50 rounds creates a ranking system that highlights golfers that are particularly elite with the driver.

Ranking Golfers Based On Fit

Golfer
Outright Odds To Win
Fit

Bryson DeChambeau
+10000
12.62

Dean Burmester
+20000
11.98

Rory McIlroy
+1000
11.32

Cameron Young
+15000
10.47

Trey Mullinax
+25000
9.59

Based on fit alone, Bryson DeChambeau and his +10000 sports betting odds appear to be the clear best bet of the Open Championship. The only golfer within one point on the strokes gained relative to fit scale would be Dean Burmester who also has extremely long odds at +20000.

Of course, it can be very risky to bet on golfers strictly based on fit, but when narrowing the field down a bit it can be quite useful. That usefulness proves true when looking at alternative betting styles.

Betting On Trios

Amongst the most favored styles of bets is betting on a golfer to win out of a group of three. That style is called 3 Balls, and the most popular golf odds for that are out for the first round specifically.

Some of the golfers with the biggest leads over the other two members of their trio are listed below.

Trio Of Golfers
Leader(Odds)
Lead

T. Gooch / S. Norris / W. Clark
Wyndham Clark(+160)
12.32101

C. Young / K. Lee / R. Macintyre
Cameron Young(+150)
9.320751904

M. Calcavecchia / R. Fox / J. Morgan
Ryan Fox(-180)
8.926294

C. Morikawa / R. McIlroy / X. Schauffele
Rory McIlroy(+135)
8.692262141

D. Frittelli / T. Mullinax / M. Jordan
Trey Mullinax(+210)
7.325824194

Those leads were calculated by subtracting the leader’s fit by the golfer with the second-highest fit score in their group. That is one of the main reasons for Wyndham Clark’s huge advantage over his group, which could pay off with +160 odds.

Clark rated as the eighth-best fit in the entire field for the British Open, but his trio partners of Shaun Norris(124th) and Talor Gooch(106th) best fit for the course. Both Norris and Gooch had a negative fit rating for the Old Course.

News tags: British Open | Bryson DeChambeau | Dean Burmester | golf | Open Championship | PGA | Shaun Norris | Talor Gooch | Wyndham Clark

Brett Crown

Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.

.

Author: Jeffrey Fisher